While we are moving toward creating players rated differently within most positions, I do not see that happening enough with QBs. Most of o ur younger QBs coming out of the draft the last few seasons have been almost clones of Justin Fields, Trey Lance, or Zach Wilson. Yet there is much more variety of styles of QBs possible without creating too many superstar QBs or having ratings go too high.
The best recent QB created was Joe Burrow, and I think is skill ratings (potentials) are reasonable:
Joe Burrow 80 79 80 96 70 86 92 84
Based on what I saw tonight in the SB, I think Jalen Hurts should look like this:
Jalen Hurts 80 84 84 92 70 87 90 84
And for Patrick Mahomes I would say these ratings:
Patrick Mahomes 81 81 86 95 70 87 92 84
If Michael Vick or someone as good, were created:
Michael Vick 84 86 84 94 70 87 91 83 (had had reaL life 4.3 speed that has to be a 83/86 SP/AC)
And if you cloned Tom Brady, I would think this:
Tom Brady 74 78 81 95 70 85 95 85
I know the 95/85 is outside our range on IN/DI, but Brady was outside the range of IN/DI in real life, his kind of talent in those areas is once in a generation, once per decade at best.
What do you all think?
Thoughts about QB ratings
- Dean-Atlanta
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Thoughts about QB ratings
Dean
The Atlanta Falcons
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- Mitch-Oilers
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Re: Thoughts about QB ratings
I see things a different way. I see what you are saying but I think the solution is to continue to focus on creating more differentiation of ratings based on our current PNFL ratings scale. If the average of all our QBs were closer to the below "MEAN" ratings, it would mean fewer players were at or close to MAX making those players that are at or close to MAX truly stand out.
The difference between a Top 18 QB and a Top 50 is 1 point in ST and 1 point in IN. The difference in a Top 18 QB and the PNFL avg is 2 points in IN, 2 points in ST and 1 point in DI.
You can see some progress being made in differentiating ratings in the last few draft classes, particularly with IN and ST. However, it is going to take a lot more drafts and a lot more retirements to move the needle.
Here's what I mean:
PNFL ratings scale for QBs
MAX
SP 81 AC 81 AC 81 ST 92 EN 87 HA 71 IN 92 DI 84
MIN
SP 50 AC 55 AG 50 ST 70 EN 40 HA 50 IN 69 DI 65
MEAN
SP 66 AC 68 AG 66 ST 83 EN 69 HA 56 IN 81 DI 75
Current ratings averages for QBs in the PNFL
All 119 QBs ACT/POT
SP 77/79
AC 77/79
AG 78/79
ST 94/95
EN 84/86
HA 68/70
IN 90/91
DI 82/83
Top 50 QBs ACT/POT
SP 79/79
AC 79/79
AG 79/80
ST 95/95
EN 86/86
HA 70/70
IN 91/91
DI 83/83
Top 18 QBs ACT/POT
SP 79/79
AC 79/79
AG 79/80
ST 96/96
EN 86/86
HA 70/70
IN 92/92
DI 83/83
QBs 0-2 Exp ACT/POT
SP 78/79
AC 79/80
AG 79/80
ST 94/95
EN 85/86
HA 69/70
IN 89/90
DI 82/83
The difference between a Top 18 QB and a Top 50 is 1 point in ST and 1 point in IN. The difference in a Top 18 QB and the PNFL avg is 2 points in IN, 2 points in ST and 1 point in DI.
You can see some progress being made in differentiating ratings in the last few draft classes, particularly with IN and ST. However, it is going to take a lot more drafts and a lot more retirements to move the needle.
Here's what I mean:
PNFL ratings scale for QBs
MAX
SP 81 AC 81 AC 81 ST 92 EN 87 HA 71 IN 92 DI 84
MIN
SP 50 AC 55 AG 50 ST 70 EN 40 HA 50 IN 69 DI 65
MEAN
SP 66 AC 68 AG 66 ST 83 EN 69 HA 56 IN 81 DI 75
Current ratings averages for QBs in the PNFL
All 119 QBs ACT/POT
SP 77/79
AC 77/79
AG 78/79
ST 94/95
EN 84/86
HA 68/70
IN 90/91
DI 82/83
Top 50 QBs ACT/POT
SP 79/79
AC 79/79
AG 79/80
ST 95/95
EN 86/86
HA 70/70
IN 91/91
DI 83/83
Top 18 QBs ACT/POT
SP 79/79
AC 79/79
AG 79/80
ST 96/96
EN 86/86
HA 70/70
IN 92/92
DI 83/83
QBs 0-2 Exp ACT/POT
SP 78/79
AC 79/80
AG 79/80
ST 94/95
EN 85/86
HA 69/70
IN 89/90
DI 82/83
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- Mitch-Oilers
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Re: Thoughts about QB ratings
Typo correction: MAX QB ST is 96, not 92
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Re: Thoughts about QB ratings
Dean-Atlanta wrote:If Michael Vick or someone as good, were created:
Michael Vick 84 86 84 94 70 87 91 83 (had had reaL life 4.3 speed that has to be a 83/86 SP/AC)
I think you got this completely wrong Vick was more of a 90 80 on IN DI with 96 st if not 79 in DI. He didn't have the ability to read defenses but had a rocket arm.
Honestly I think if we are mirroring the NFL. The concept of a pocket QB isn't really a thing. They are all mobile with a good arm. I think the difference in QB is small difference in AC AG and ST but a wider range in SP IN and DI. You could make a case that Mahomes and Hurts I would say are more 91 or 92 in with 84 DI. I would say Allen is probably 92 in and more like 81 or 82 DI. Dax is probably 90 and 80.
That being said what I would suggest is create a wider range. I would say in todays NFL in just starting QBs there is 5 point sing at SP, DI and IN. I would say there might be 2 point different in AC, AG and ST. In backups I would say you are looking at least a point or 2 below starters. It is going to take time to get to this point.
I would say if you are looking at a QB with high SP may be we could talk about changing the number of QB runs you can have in your plan. Allen is almost the teams leading rusher.
- Jerry-Redskins
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Re: Thoughts about QB ratings
I say the league is competitive and vibrant currently. The league is already working a deliberate paced spread in ratings. How about we enjoy what is a great era in PNFL ball and focus on making our teams better in all ways. Lets enjoy the golden goose.
2013, 2036 PNFL Champion
- Dean-Atlanta
- Posts: 1447
- Joined: Fri Oct 25, 2019 3:46 pm
- Location: Lynnwood, WA
Re: Thoughts about QB ratings
Mitch is right. If most of our QBs where not so high in the ratings ranges, we could more effectively create rare talent aat times.
QB Mean Ratings 66 68 66 83 69 56 81 75
QB Average Starter 70 72 72 88 70 68 84 78
Then these QBs rated this way, in our current ratings range, would have much more value:
Joe Burrow 76 79 78 92 70 86 90 80
Jalen Hurts 80 80 80 92 70 87 88 80
Patrick Mahomes 78 80 81 93 70 87 92 80
Michael Vick 81 81 81 94 70 87 88 80
Tom Brady 74 78 81 95 70 85 92 84
These would be so much more valuable when the typical starting QB looks like Average Starter above.
QB Mean Ratings 66 68 66 83 69 56 81 75
QB Average Starter 70 72 72 88 70 68 84 78
Then these QBs rated this way, in our current ratings range, would have much more value:
Joe Burrow 76 79 78 92 70 86 90 80
Jalen Hurts 80 80 80 92 70 87 88 80
Patrick Mahomes 78 80 81 93 70 87 92 80
Michael Vick 81 81 81 94 70 87 88 80
Tom Brady 74 78 81 95 70 85 92 84
These would be so much more valuable when the typical starting QB looks like Average Starter above.
Dean
The Atlanta Falcons
"We may win big or lose big, but we don't dodge anybody and we don't makes excuses when we lose."
- Jerry Glanville
The Atlanta Falcons
"We may win big or lose big, but we don't dodge anybody and we don't makes excuses when we lose."
- Jerry Glanville
- Dean-Atlanta
- Posts: 1447
- Joined: Fri Oct 25, 2019 3:46 pm
- Location: Lynnwood, WA
Re: Thoughts about QB ratings
Jerry-Redskins wrote:I say the league is competitive and vibrant currently. The league is already working a deliberate paced spread in ratings. How about we enjoy what is a great era in PNFL ball and focus on making our teams better in all ways. Lets enjoy the golden goose.
I think we are all doing just that, but the off-season is also a good time to re-think a lot of things and have discussions about them. I think we need to remember that, the league is going well in large part because some changes were made and improvements have been made in many areas rather than just sticking with what was the "golden goose" 10-20 seasons ago. Change is inevitable, and there is as much risk in falling behind it as there is to getting too far ahead of it.
Dean
The Atlanta Falcons
"We may win big or lose big, but we don't dodge anybody and we don't makes excuses when we lose."
- Jerry Glanville
The Atlanta Falcons
"We may win big or lose big, but we don't dodge anybody and we don't makes excuses when we lose."
- Jerry Glanville
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